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Colliers 2021 Q2 Greater Phoenix Retail Market Report

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Q2 2021 Retail Market

Key Takeaways
  • Vacancy decreased 20 basis points quarter-over-quarter
  • Year-to-date net absorption is 496,542 square feet, more than double all of 2020's amount
  • Investment sales reached $350.5 million in the second quarter, 19% higher than the first 6 months of 2020
Second quarter was a drastic change from last year. The Greater Phoenix retail market ended Q2 2021 narrowly edging out the previous quarter by posting 249,645 square feet of net absorption. 

There was 249,645 square feet of positive absorption followed by a slight increase in rental rates. 

Investment sales this quarter were higher than all of 2020, ending at $350.5 million. 

Rental rates continued showing positive growth, rising 1.98 percent year-over-year ending at  $14.90 per square foot.
Construction continued forward during second quarter as the market delivered 188,470 square feet of new space within three projects and posted another 382,505 square feet underway.
Investment sales in the retail market improved during second quarter with transactions totaling $350 million, bringing year-to-date sales volume to $636 million. 

The median price paid per square foot percent landed at $222. 

Outlook: Pent-up demand resulted in a retail spending increase of 25 percent compared to January 2020. Phoenix maintains its top metro position for net migration for the 3rd consecutive year from July 2019-2020, so our market is witnessing more and more demand for retail outlets entering the area. Development in suburban areas make up more than 80 percent of construction as developers actively work to keep up with the strong growth.

Retail Market Colliers International in Arizona

Colliers 2021 Q2 Greater Phoenix Retail Market Report

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Related Experts

Phillip Hernandez

Research Manager


As research manager for Colliers International in Arizona, I am responsible for proactively developing and implementing research objectives and directing all research activity for the Arizona offices.

I provide leading-edge, thought-provoking research and analysis of market data for use in producing quarterly statistical market reports for each property discipline, as well as other ad hoc reports, research projects and presentations. I analyze and interpret real estate trends and maintain a database of economic indicators to provide forecasts.

Regardless of the property type or sector, I believe each has a story to tell and that data provides the opportunity to redefine the narrative. With a background in location analytics, I am highly experienced in interpreting complex data sets. Using the latest technology, I developed a system to blend analytics with a visually attractive approach to bring data to life.

Focusing on business development, I leverage market intelligence and insights for thought leadership content strategy in support of client engagement. My goal is to strategically align research and business development efforts and present research in an easily digestible format that promotes Colliers’ market share and revenue growth.

Colleagues describe me as a brilliant storyteller and a passionate, creative and experienced professional.

Prior to joining Colliers, I served as a business analyst at CBRE, where I specialized in creating tailored research reports, as well as unique and interactive applications and dashboards that elevated the market position of assets.

I delivered weekly research updates with relevant lease and sale comps, custom competitive sets and current market activity. I provided complex market and trend analyses, monitored an extensive database of proprietary market data, and delivered custom quarterly and annual reports that were strategically positioned towards targeted clients. I also led weekly department research meetings to develop initiatives surrounding market trends, produce innovative industry solutions and analyze client-centric objectives.

Previously, I was a GIS analyst for the central region of CBRE. Working exclusively with top-performing markets, I created unique models that illustrated custom real estate datasets through location analytics. I produced high-quality geographic and demographic maps, and investigated multiple approaches to storytelling through map and market analytics.

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Casey Koziol



As a research analyst for Colliers International in Arizona, I deliver in-depth analysis of current market conditions and trends for brokerage professionals and their clients. I compile market statistics across all property disciplines, including industrial, office, retail, healthcare, multifamily and land.

Using various in-house and online resources, I prepare data and background narrative information for market reports, publications and proposals for use by brokers, staff and management to serve the interests of Colliers’ clients.

In support of sales, leasing and business development, I create compelling client-facing presentations that illustrate and interpret real estate and economic trends. I track and analyze all aspects of the commercial real estate market and leverage that knowledge on behalf of Colliers and its clients. I also maintain sales and lease comp databases, monitor tenants-in-the-market activity, and respond to ad hoc research requests.

Clients and colleagues describe me as an ambitious and results-oriented professional, who strives for service excellence. My commitment to integrity, collaborative approach and effective communications make me a valued partner to internal and external clients.

My background includes working with landlord and tenant clients, primarily in the industrial and education sectors. Prior to joining Colliers, I served as a real estate sales and acquisitions intern at Tucson Realty & Trust Company, where I specialized in identifying potential buyers and sellers for commercial properties in the Tucson metropolitan area. Accomplishments included locating a buyer for an industrial storage property in south Tucson and facilitating a 1031 exchange on behalf of a client.

I was also a marketing analyst intern for Keyser Commercial Real Estate in Scottsdale, where I supported business developments efforts thorough researching properties on CoStar for existing and potential clients for the tenant-focused firm.

Outside work, my interests and activities include international travel, professional and collegiate sports, open water diving (I am scuba certified) and a variety of adventure challenges. I am semi-fluent in written and spoken Spanish, after spending a semester in Spain.

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