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Colliers 2021 Q1 Greater Phoenix Retail Market Report

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Q1 2021 Retail Market

Key Takeaways
  • Vacancy decreased 20 basis points quarter-over-quarter
  • Leasing activity drastically increased from low point in 2020
  • Investment sales reached $382 million first quarter
The Greater Phoenix retail market ended Q1 2021 posting 246,897 SFof net absorption.

Rental rates continue showing signs of growth, despite national headlines of business failures, rising 1.10% year-over-year.

Construction continued forward with the market delivering 231,020 SF of new space in the first three months, with an extremely low vacancy rate of only 5%.

Investment sales remained healthy with transactions totaling $382 million.

The median price paid per square foot increased 14 percent year-over-year to $191 psf.

Outlook: Demand for drive-thru space and creation of new restaurant concepts have been driving a market for new construction. Additionally, the sprawl in both east and west valley regions is creating even more demand for more retail space. The rising price of land and the dramatic increase in construction costs will continue pressuring rental rate increases.

Retail Market Colliers International in Arizona

Colliers 2021 Q1 Greater Phoenix Retail Market Report

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Related Experts

Phillip Hernandez

Research Manager

Phoenix

As research manager for Colliers International in Arizona, I am responsible for proactively developing and implementing research objectives and directing all research activity for the Arizona offices.

I provide leading-edge, thought-provoking research and analysis of market data for use in producing quarterly statistical market reports for each property discipline, as well as other ad hoc reports, research projects and presentations. I analyze and interpret real estate trends and maintain a database of economic indicators to provide forecasts.

Regardless of the property type or sector, I believe each has a story to tell and that data provides the opportunity to redefine the narrative. With a background in location analytics, I am highly experienced in interpreting complex data sets. Using the latest technology, I developed a system to blend analytics with a visually attractive approach to bring data to life.

Focusing on business development, I leverage market intelligence and insights for thought leadership content strategy in support of client engagement. My goal is to strategically align research and business development efforts and present research in an easily digestible format that promotes Colliers’ market share and revenue growth.

Colleagues describe me as a brilliant storyteller and a passionate, creative and experienced professional.

Prior to joining Colliers, I served as a business analyst at CBRE, where I specialized in creating tailored research reports, as well as unique and interactive applications and dashboards that elevated the market position of assets.

I delivered weekly research updates with relevant lease and sale comps, custom competitive sets and current market activity. I provided complex market and trend analyses, monitored an extensive database of proprietary market data, and delivered custom quarterly and annual reports that were strategically positioned towards targeted clients. I also led weekly department research meetings to develop initiatives surrounding market trends, produce innovative industry solutions and analyze client-centric objectives.

Previously, I was a GIS analyst for the central region of CBRE. Working exclusively with top-performing markets, I created unique models that illustrated custom real estate datasets through location analytics. I produced high-quality geographic and demographic maps, and investigated multiple approaches to storytelling through map and market analytics.

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Casey Koziol

Researcher

Phoenix

As a research analyst for Colliers International in Arizona, I deliver in-depth analysis of current market conditions and trends for brokerage professionals and their clients. I compile market statistics across all property disciplines, including industrial, office, retail, healthcare, multifamily and land.

Using various in-house and online resources, I prepare data and background narrative information for market reports, publications and proposals for use by brokers, staff and management to serve the interests of Colliers’ clients.

In support of sales, leasing and business development, I create compelling client-facing presentations that illustrate and interpret real estate and economic trends. I track and analyze all aspects of the commercial real estate market and leverage that knowledge on behalf of Colliers and its clients. I also maintain sales and lease comp databases, monitor tenants-in-the-market activity, and respond to ad hoc research requests.

Clients and colleagues describe me as an ambitious and results-oriented professional, who strives for service excellence. My commitment to integrity, collaborative approach and effective communications make me a valued partner to internal and external clients.

My background includes working with landlord and tenant clients, primarily in the industrial and education sectors. Prior to joining Colliers, I served as a real estate sales and acquisitions intern at Tucson Realty & Trust Company, where I specialized in identifying potential buyers and sellers for commercial properties in the Tucson metropolitan area. Accomplishments included locating a buyer for an industrial storage property in south Tucson and facilitating a 1031 exchange on behalf of a client.

I was also a marketing analyst intern for Keyser Commercial Real Estate in Scottsdale, where I supported business developments efforts thorough researching properties on CoStar for existing and potential clients for the tenant-focused firm.

Outside work, my interests and activities include international travel, professional and collegiate sports, open water diving (I am scuba certified) and a variety of adventure challenges. I am semi-fluent in written and spoken Spanish, after spending a semester in Spain.

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