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Slowed production from the past months will be adapted through increased output over the summer

Higher inventories may lead to a higher need for short-term storage options

Many manufacturing facilities in Romania ceased operations soon after the Covid-19 outbreak, to help protect employees from the spread of the virus. However, March and May are two of the biggest production months over the course of the year, driven by European production demand, so the effects of slowed production are significant. Production activities may be adapted through increased output over the summer, while higher inventories already accumulated could potentially lead to increased needs for short-term storage options.

As per Collier International’s calculations, in normal years, peak output for Romania was seen in October-November, which yielded both some 9% in higher production than the monthly average per year, while the second most important period was that of spring, which did not trail too far behind. Furthermore, for automotive, both in Romania and in other major manufacturing countries, like Germany, Poland or the UK, March has actually been the peak month.

"After 13 years since joining the European Union, the domestic clock of local industry is beating at the pace of developed western markets. And as more than 40% of Romania's exports go only to the three main foreign partners - Germany, Italy and France, it was somehow expected that local factories would work at a similar pace. However, Romania and the rest of the emerging countries in the region are more correlated with Germany than with Italy and France in the sense that the impact of the summer holidays is lower", said Silviu Pop, Head of Research for Romania at Colliers International.

"The market is currently in a state of expectancy, but it has high development potential in the production, due to its better resources of unused labor, at significantly lower labor costs than in other member countries in the region and at costs comparable to the Chinese average. Therefore, a rapid economic recovery - a scenario on which numerous specialists are counting - will generate effervescence on the Romanian industrial and logistics warehouse spaces market, mitigating long-term effects of potentially unfavorable evolutions in the second half of 2020", says Laurențiu Duică, Partner & Head of Industrial Agency at Colliers International.


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Silviu Pop

Head of Research | Romania

Bucharest

Before joining Colliers mid-2017 as Head of Research for Romania, Silviu Pop worked with ING Bank for close to three years as an economist, covering macroeconomic/financial market themes for Romania, Bulgaria, Serbia and Croatia. His previous professional experience includes working almost 7 years as a financial journalist at various media outlets in Romania, including the sole business-oriented TV station in Romania, where he hosted a daily show for a period of time; during this interval,  he won a number of scholarships, including a stint with Reuters. He holds a BSc in economics at the Bucharest University of Economic Studies.

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