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Real Estate Investment Forecasts Q3 2020

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Although investment activity during the first nine months of the year is down by roughly 20% from the same period in 2019, it appears that investors are returning to the market with over £4.4bn worth of capital transacted in September. However, total returns will fall by -4.6% this year, before returning to growth of 4.0% in 2021. Rental growth will remain in negative territory in 2021, but we expect yields to generally stabilise. The key takeaways in this  quarter’s Real Estate Investment Forecasts report are –

  • We revised our all property total returns forecast for 2020 from -7.1% in our Q2 REIF to -4.6%
  • With the exception of industrial, rents will continue to fall across the board until H2 2021
  • The majority of repricing is occurring this year and yields should generally stabilise next year
  • Industrial will be the standout performer once more, with total returns of 2.6% this year

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Real Estate Investment Forecasts Q3 2020

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Related Experts

Walter Boettcher

Head of Research and Economics

Research and Forecasting

London - West End

I am the the Chief Economist at global property advisors Colliers International based in London.  I am a research economist identifying timely research topics and directing research and forecasting outputs.

I have over 20 years UK and European property industry experience and extensive expertise across a wide range of property sectors and related industries.

I participate regularly in industry panel discussions, but am focused more on direct client engagement with institutions, property companies, banks, and private investors. A regular media commentator, I have a wide range of national and broadcast experience.

I joined Colliers International in August 2007 after several years at a private property company where he was responsible for managing a mixed portfolio of London residential, retail and office assets.

Previously, I worked in a few London property advisory firms, a geodemographic company as well as a few youthful sojourns in the US offshore oil industry, local government and entertainment business.

I am an economics graduate of the University of Texas at Austin and received his PhD from the Faculty of Science at University College London.  I am a member of Lambda Alpha International and the Society of Property Researchers.

Perhaps best known for my alternative take on property economics and investment, I am a keen proponent of UK regional development and infrastructure investment.

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Oliver Kolodseike

Director of Economics and Research

Research and Forecasting

London - West End

Oliver is Head of Economic Research and leads the quarterly UK forecasting process including the publication of Colliers' Real Estate Investment Forecasts (REIF) report. He also  authors the monthly Property Snapshot and, quarterly Scotland Snapshot. Prior to joining Colliers, he worked for the Centre for Economics and Business Research and IHS Markit. Oliver holds a BA in Economics from  Georg-August University Göttingen (Germany) and an MSc in Economics from Exeter University.

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