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Highest rental increase in industrial market in over 30 years

24 01 22 Highest rental increase in industrial market in over 30 years hero

According to latest research by Colliers, 2021 saw a rental increase of 8.7 per cent for the whole industrial market, the highest growth in over 30 years (since September 1990).


This was prompted by a record low supply of 18.1 million sq ft (down 34 per cent year-on-year) triggered by a new record take-up of 50.7 million sq ft and a record annual share of online sales of 29.1 per cent in 2021, up from a share of 28.1 per cent year-on-year (ONS).

Q4 supply figures equated to a vacancy rate of 3.3 per cent for units sized 100,000 sq ft and above and circa seven months’ worth of supply.

Developers, on the other hand, completed more than 11 million sq ft of space in 2021 but more than 75 per cent of this space has either let or is under offer. With regards to 2022, Colliers is currently tracking circa 18 million sq ft that could be delivered. However, some of this space will naturally roll over and complete in 2023.

Colliers’ research also reveals that the industrial investment market followed suit in 2021 with a record breaking £16.7 billion. This strong demand for investment assets took the UK industrial net initial yield (NIY) to 3.56 per cent, a compression of 65 Basis Points (bps) year-on-year and drove total returns to reach the highest level since October 1989 at 37 per cent.

London and South East assets are seeing the sharpest yields with national distribution warehouses witnessing the strongest annual yield compression of 100bps to a 3.8 per cent NIY in December 2021. Total returns for industrial assets reached 43.5 per cent in London compared to 36.5 per cent in the South East and 32.7 per cent for the rest of the UK.

Andrea Ferranti, Head of Industrial and Logistics Research at Colliers commented: “The performance of the industrial market is breaking numerous records, driven by occupiers expanding operations, eye-watering rental growth figures across the UK and investors betting on the long term performance of the sector.

“Due to the uptick in industrial speculative developments, which accounted for 31 per cent of total take up, the highest share since 2011, the share of take-up for purpose built warehouses is at the lowest level since 2014, at 41 per cent, as occupiers are racing to acquire space."

The key driver of demand is the strong appetite from online pure player companies which took a record share of take-up of 43 per cent compared to 33 per cent in 2020, while general retail recorded an 11 per cent share, down from 18 per cent year-on-year.

Furthermore, Amazon accounted for 28.3 per cent of total take-up, up from 25 per cent in 2020. Circa 14 per cent of total space was also acquired by other online brands such as JD. Com, Bohoo and Buy It Direct to name a few.

Len Rosso, Head of Industrial and Logistics at Colliers added: “In terms of the prime end of the market, the average rental growth was also considerable. For this type of accommodation in London, it recorded 25 per cent and in the regions, they witnessed around 11-16 per cent average growth.

“Flight-to-prime has also been a key theme of the market as energy efficiency savings and ESG requirements are increasingly driving boardroom decisions. This is clearly reflected in the statistics with 72 per cent share of total take-up occurring on new units in 2021.”

Industrial & Logistics UK Webinar | Future-Proofing | January 2022

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Len Rosso

Head of Industrial and Logistics

Industrial and Logistics

London - West End

Len has more than 30 years' experience in the commercial property sector. Having started out as a trainee surveyor in 1983 he moved on to set up Jansons in 1990, a niche agency specialising in industrial in North and West London. In 2004/5 the business was voted Industrial Agency of the Year, this being the first ever non West End national practice to have won this prestigious award. In that same year the business transacted in excess of 3.5 million sq ft which accounted for in excess of 50% of the total transactions for the North and West London market.


Since joining Colliers International, as the Head of the UK Logistics and Industrial Department, the objectives are the same as always, to outperform all competitors whilst providing the highest level of service to all our clients. In 2018, the Colliers International UK Industrial & Logistics team completed over 250 deals totalling over 15 million sq ft. 

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Andrea Ferranti

Director for Industrial Client Engagement

Research and Forecasting

London - West End

Head of Industrial & Logistics Research working closely with the Research & Forecasting team whilst supporting the Industrial and Logistics teams nationally in providing research and advises to clients. Andrea leads on the division’s key research papers which include, but not limited to, the Industrial & Logistics Barometer and the UK Speculative Development Map – both of which have become key benchmark publications highly valued by UK investors and developers alike.

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Hannah Zitren

Associate Director

Marketing & Communications

Manchester

I am responsible for media relations and generating coverage in top tier broadcast and print media. I work across a range of Colliers’ UK & Pan-EMEA business lines advising on their strategic and tactical PR needs.

My role includes:

·         Developing and executing PR plans for the various business lines to help promote their key messages across all aspects of the media - print, broadcast and social.

·          Media evaluation and reporting objectives, targets and successes across the business.

·         Reputation management and crisis management.

·         Media training.

·         Media engagement: setting up meetings with top tier media and various internal spokespeople to continuously expand and build a presence with property and vertical media network.

·         Consistently delivering service excellence, meeting with business heads of a regular basis and trying to influence the research as much as possible to ensure our content has a strong enough news hook.

·         Key campaigns that I work on include MIPIM; MAPIC; REVO; Midsummer Retail Report; IHIF; Cities of Influence in addition to a host of all alternative property sector research reports.

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