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Investment volumes in June indicate some easing of transactional logjam

11 02 20 debt advisory 22

Investment into UK commercial real estate broke through the £1 billion mark in June for the first time in three months, suggesting the logjam in transactions is beginning to ease, states Colliers International in its latest Real Estate Investment Forecast research. 

The second quarter of 2020 saw around £3 billion invested into UK commercial real estate. When combined with the strong £15.4 billion transacted in the first quarter, total investment in H1 2020 reached £18.3 billion, down 16 per cent from H1 2019 notes the real estate advisory firm.

The largest deals in Q2 include SEGRO’s purchase of a 23-unit industrial estate at Perivale Park in Greenford for £202.5m at 3.5% yield, L&G’s acquisition of an office and BTR scheme at Sheffield’s West Bar Square for £150m and the sale of 55 Ludgate Hill to Union Investment RE for £139m at 4.5% yield.

Oliver Kolodseike, associate director in the Research team at Colliers International, commented: “Despite the slowdown in investment volumes in the second quarter, there are signs that activity is picking up again and we are aware that up to £2.5bn worth of contracts are currently in the making. As investment volumes recover it will bring more transaction evidence to the market and may result in a modest recompression of prime yields in some segments of the market.”

Colliers expects annual all-property returns to fall by 7.1 per cent this year as increases in yields are driven by rental performance and pricing concerns amongst most asset classes. Over the five-year horizon through to 2024, the firm predicts all-property annual average returns of 3.8% per annum.

John Knowles, head of National Capital Markets at Colliers International, added: “Despite the second quarter still seeing low levels of transactions as COVID-19 continues to circulate, there have been patches of the market that have held up during this time, and where investor appetite has actually increased. Most notably this has been for supermarkets where demand has been driven by appetite for low-risk, long-term income streams. The rise of e-commerce as more people shop online during this time has helped keep the industrial investment market relatively steady. Development opportunities and sectors such as PRS and student accommodation still remain attractive, helped by their longer lead times and underlying robust market fundamentals.”


Related Experts

Oliver Kolodseike

Director of Economics and Research

Research and Forecasting

London - West End

Oliver is Head of Economic Research and leads the quarterly UK forecasting process including the publication of Colliers' Real Estate Investment Forecasts (REIF) report. He also  authors the monthly Property Snapshot and, quarterly Scotland Snapshot. Prior to joining Colliers, he worked for the Centre for Economics and Business Research and IHS Markit. Oliver holds a BA in Economics from  Georg-August University Göttingen (Germany) and an MSc in Economics from Exeter University.

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John Knowles

Head of National Capital Markets

National Capital Markets

London - West End

A highly qualified real estate professional, John has extensive knowledge of direct and indirect real estate and finance projects in Europe and Asia.

Prior to joining Colliers, John was MD Corporate Finance at DTZ and Head of Capital Markets at LSH. He has worked extensively in distressed debt and NPL situations and has concluded transactions in the last 12 months for Cerberus, Starwood and LBG.

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