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Colliers International hosted our annual economic briefing with Anatole Kaletsky on Thursday 4 February at The Dorchester Hotel, London.
View the entire presentation as well as comments from Walter Boettcher below.
The funeral refers to a misplaced fear that the Chinese slowdown may turn into a collapse. Kaletsky sought to dispel a few Chinese myths. The economy is not collapsing, but is slowing due to a structural change. Likewise, devaluation of the RMB is not a ‘competitive devaluation’, but a reflects increased efforts to manage the currency.
The weddings? A combination of self-sustained US employment growth, lower for longer oil prices, ECB quantitative easing (which is proving effective) and in the UK, political stability for the next 10 years.
Add to this, a forecast that interest rates will not rise above two per cent anywhere this decade and there is at least reason to expect stability, save for the unquantifiable threat of disruption from ‘global political mayhem’, but this is always a feature of the market.
Kaletsky believes we will shortly move back into a 'risk on' market.
For property, this cannot be a bad thing?
To view the video from last year's event click here.
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